(a) For \(X \sim U(2, 8)\), compute the first four central moments, the standard deviation and the mean deviation. (b) For \(X \sim U(0, 10)\), find \(E(X^3)\).
To compute the moments and related measures of a continuous Uniform distribution.
Applying it:
Blank working table (fill in each measure for \(U(2,8)\)):
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Mean \(\mu\) | |
| \(\mu_2\) (variance) | |
| \(\mu_3\) | |
| \(\mu_4\) | |
| SD \(\sigma\) | |
| MD |
(a) \(a = 2,\ b = 8,\ b - a = 6\). \(\mu = (2+8)/2 = 5\); \(\mu_2 = 6^2/12 = 3\); \(\mu_3 = 0\); \(\mu_4 = 6^4/80 = 1296/80 = 16.2\); \(\sigma = \sqrt{3} = 1.732\); \(\text{MD} = 6/4 = 1.5\).
(b) \(E(X^3) = \displaystyle\int_0^{10} \frac{x^3}{10}\,dx = \frac{1}{10}\cdot\frac{10^4}{4} = 250\).
For \(U(2, 8)\): \(\mu = 5,\ \mu_2 = 3,\ \mu_3 = 0,\ \mu_4 = 16.2,\ \sigma = 1.732,\ \text{MD} = 1.5\). For \(U(0, 10)\): \(E(X^3) = 250\).
Using the central moments of a Uniform distribution (from Experiment 1, \(\mu_2 = 3,\ \mu_3 = 0,\ \mu_4 = 16.2\) for \(U(2,8)\)), compute the coefficients of skewness \(\beta_1\) and kurtosis \(\beta_2\).
To measure the skewness and kurtosis of a Uniform distribution and show that its shape is independent of the limits \(a, b\).
Applying it:
Blank working table (fill in the coefficients):
| Quantity | Value |
|---|---|
| \(\beta_1\) | |
| \(\beta_2\) | |
| \(\gamma_2\) |
\(\beta_1 = 0^2/3^3 = 0\) (symmetric).
\(\beta_2 = 16.2/3^2 = 16.2/9 = 1.8\); \(\gamma_2 = 1.8 - 3 = -1.2\).
General check: \(\beta_2 = \dfrac{(b-a)^4/80}{[(b-a)^2/12]^2} = \dfrac{144}{80} = 1.8\) — independent of \(a, b\).
\(\beta_1 = 0\) (perfectly symmetric) and \(\beta_2 = 1.8\) (\(< 3\)), so the Uniform distribution is strongly platykurtic (\(\gamma_2 = -1.2\)), and this shape holds for every \(U(a, b)\).
The time (minutes) between successive arrivals at a bank counter, recorded for 100 inter-arrival intervals:
| Class (min) | 0–2 | 2–4 | 4–6 | 6–8 | 8–10 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frequency f | 40 | 25 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 3 |
Fit an Exponential distribution.
To fit an Exponential distribution to grouped waiting-time data and obtain the expected frequencies.
Applying it:
Blank working table (compute the mid-points, probabilities and expected frequencies):
| Class | Mid-point | Probability | Expected f = 100·P | Observed f |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 40 | |||
| 2–4 | 25 | |||
| 4–6 | 16 | |||
| 6–8 | 10 | |||
| 8–10 | 6 | |||
| 10+ | 3 |
Mid-points 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11. \(\bar x = (40 + 75 + 80 + 70 + 54 + 33)/100 = 352/100 = 3.52\); \(\hat\lambda = 1/3.52 = 0.284\).
| Class | Probability | Expected f | Observed f |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 1 − e−0.568 = 0.4334 | 43.3 | 40 |
| 2–4 | e−0.568 − e−1.136 = 0.2456 | 24.6 | 25 |
| 4–6 | e−1.136 − e−1.704 = 0.1391 | 13.9 | 16 |
| 6–8 | e−1.704 − e−2.272 = 0.0788 | 7.9 | 10 |
| 8–10 | e−2.272 − e−2.840 = 0.0447 | 4.5 | 6 |
| 10+ | e−2.840 = 0.0584 | 5.8 | 3 |
| Total | 1.000 | 100.0 | 100 |
The fitted Exponential distribution has \(\hat\lambda = 0.284\) per minute (mean inter-arrival time 3.52 min). The expected frequencies agree reasonably with the observed, so the Exponential model is acceptable.
(a) Let \(X \sim \text{Gamma}(r = 3, \lambda = 2)\) (the waiting time for the third call when calls
arrive at rate 2 per hour). Find \(E(X)\), \(\operatorname{Var}(X)\) and \(P(X \le 1)\).
(b) If \(X_1 \sim \text{Gamma}(2, 1)\) and \(X_2 \sim \text{Gamma}(3, 1)\) are independent, find the
distribution of \(X_1 + X_2\).
To apply the mean/variance formulas and the additive property of the Gamma distribution.
Applying it:
Blank working table (fill in the results):
| Quantity | Value |
|---|---|
| \(E(X)\), \(\operatorname{Var}(X)\) — part (a) | |
| \(P(X \le 1)\) — part (a) | |
| Distribution of \(X_1 + X_2\) — part (b) |
(a) \(E(X) = 3/2 = 1.5\) h; \(\operatorname{Var}(X) = 3/4 = 0.75\). With \(f(x) = \dfrac{2^3}{2!}x^2 e^{-2x} = 4x^2 e^{-2x}\),
\(P(X \le 1) = 1 - e^{-2}\left(1 + 2 + \dfrac{2^2}{2!}\right) = 1 - e^{-2}(1 + 2 + 2) = 1 - 5e^{-2} \approx 0.3233\).
(b) Both have \(\lambda = 1\), so \(X_1 + X_2 \sim \text{Gamma}(2 + 3, 1) = \text{Gamma}(5, 1)\), with mean 5 and variance 5.
(a) \(E(X) = 1.5\) h, \(\operatorname{Var}(X) = 0.75\), \(P(X \le 1) \approx 0.3233\). (b) \(X_1 + X_2 \sim \text{Gamma}(5, 1)\).
Heights (cm) of 200 students:
| Class | 150–155 | 155–160 | 160–165 | 165–170 | 170–175 | 175–180 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| f | 10 | 40 | 60 | 50 | 30 | 10 |
Fit a Normal distribution by the areas method.
To fit a Normal distribution to grouped data by computing the area (probability) under the normal curve for each class.
Applying it:
Blank working table (fill in z, Φ(z) and the class probabilities/expected frequencies):
| Upper boundary | z | Φ(z) |
|---|---|---|
| 155 | ||
| 160 | ||
| 165 | ||
| 170 | ||
| 175 |
Mid-points 152.5, …, 177.5. \(\bar x = 32\,900/200 = 164.5\); \(\sum f(x - \bar x)^2 = 7700\), so \(s = \sqrt{7700/200} = \sqrt{38.5} = 6.2\).
| Upper boundary | z = (x − 164.5)/6.2 | Φ(z) |
|---|---|---|
| 155 | −1.53 | 0.0630 |
| 160 | −0.73 | 0.2327 |
| 165 | 0.08 | 0.5319 |
| 170 | 0.89 | 0.8133 |
| 175 | 1.69 | 0.9545 |
| Class | P(class) | Expected = 200·P | Observed |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 155 | 0.0630 | 12.6 | 10 |
| 155–160 | 0.1697 | 33.9 | 40 |
| 160–165 | 0.2992 | 59.8 | 60 |
| 165–170 | 0.2814 | 56.3 | 50 |
| 170–175 | 0.1412 | 28.2 | 30 |
| ≥ 175 | 0.0455 | 9.1 | 10 |
| Total | 1.000 | 200.0 | 200 |
The fitted Normal distribution has \(\hat\mu = 164.5,\ \hat\sigma = 6.2\). The expected frequencies (12.6, 33.9, 59.8, 56.3, 28.2, 9.1) sum to 200 and follow the observed pattern, so the heights are approximately Normal.
For the same height data (with \(\hat\mu = 164.5,\ \hat\sigma = 6.2,\ N = 200,\ h = 5\)), fit a Normal distribution by the ordinates method.
To fit a Normal distribution using the ordinate (density) at each class mid-point, and to compare it with the areas method.
Applying it:
Blank working table (fill in z, φ(z) and the expected frequencies; \(Nh/\hat\sigma = 161.29\)):
| Mid x | z | φ(z) | Expected f = 161.29·φ(z) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152.5 | |||
| 157.5 | |||
| 162.5 | |||
| 167.5 | |||
| 172.5 | |||
| 177.5 |
Coefficient \(Nh/\hat\sigma = 200 \times 5 / 6.2 = 161.29\).
| Mid x | z | φ(z) | Expected f |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152.5 | −1.94 | 0.0608 | 9.81 |
| 157.5 | −1.13 | 0.2107 | 33.99 |
| 162.5 | −0.32 | 0.3790 | 61.13 |
| 167.5 | 0.48 | 0.3555 | 57.34 |
| 172.5 | 1.29 | 0.1736 | 28.00 |
| 177.5 | 2.10 | 0.0440 | 7.10 |
The ordinate-method expected frequencies (9.8, 34.0, 61.1, 57.3, 28.0, 7.1) are very close to those from the areas method, confirming the Normal fit with \(\hat\mu = 164.5,\ \hat\sigma = 6.2\).
(a) Marks of 1000 students follow \(N(60, 100)\). How many score between 50 and 75?
(b) IQ in a population follows \(N(100, 225)\). Find the IQ exceeded by only 5 % of the population.
To solve probability and percentile problems by standardising to the standard normal variable \(Z\).
Applying it:
Blank working table (fill in the standardised values and results):
| Part | z value(s) | Probability / IQ |
|---|---|---|
| (a) | ||
| (b) |
(a) \(\sigma = 10\); \(z_1 = (50-60)/10 = -1\), \(z_2 = (75-60)/10 = 1.5\). \(P = \Phi(1.5) - \Phi(-1) = 0.9332 - 0.1587 = 0.7745\). Number \(= 0.7745 \times 1000 = 774.5 \approx 775\).
(b) \(\sigma = 15\); require \(P(X > x) = 0.05\), i.e. \(\Phi(z) = 0.95 \Rightarrow z = 1.645\). \(x = 100 + 1.645 \times 15 = 124.7\).
(a) About 775 students score between 50 and 75. (b) An IQ of about 125 marks the top 5 % of the population.