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Topics Covered

Sampling Inspection 100% vs Sampling Producer's Risk Consumer's Risk OC Curve AQL LTPD AOQ / AOQL ASN / ATI
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  1. 1. Introduction to Acceptance Sampling
  2. 2. 100% Inspection vs Sampling Inspection
  3. 3. Producer's Risk and Consumer's Risk
  4. 4. Operating Characteristic (OC) Curve
  5. 5. AQL and LTPD
  6. 6. Average Outgoing Quality (AOQ) and AOQL
  7. 7. Average Sample Number (ASN) and Average Total Inspection (ATI)
  8. Key Take-aways

1. Introduction to Acceptance Sampling

DEFINITION

Acceptance sampling is a form of product control in which a random sample is drawn from a lot, inspected, and a decision is made to accept or reject the entire lot based on the sample results. It is a compromise between no inspection and 100% inspection.

2. 100% Inspection vs Sampling Inspection

Aspect100% InspectionSampling Inspection
CostVery high — every item examinedMuch lower — only a fraction inspected
TimeSlow; not feasible for large lots or continuous productionQuick; lots released faster
Destructive testingImpossible (all items destroyed)Feasible (only sample destroyed)
Inspector fatigueHigh — leads to missed defects (≈ 80–90% effective)Less fatigue — more careful inspection
Risk of wrong decisionNearly zero (if no fatigue errors)Non-zero — some bad lots accepted, some good lots rejected
Information gainedOnly accept/rejectAlso provides quality history and trend data
EXAMPLE 1 — When 100% inspection is impractical

A manufacturer produces 50 000 light bulbs per day. Testing each bulb's lifespan by burning it to failure is destructive and would destroy the entire output. Sampling inspection (e.g., testing 200 bulbs) is the only feasible option.

EXAMPLE 2 — When sampling saves cost

A supplier ships 5 000 capacitors. Inspecting all 5 000 at ₹2 per capacitor costs ₹10 000. A single sampling plan (n = 200, c = 3) costs only ₹400 per lot and still provides 95% confidence of detecting a lot with more than 3% defectives.

3. Producer's Risk and Consumer's Risk

DEFINITIONS

Producer's risk (\(\alpha\)): The probability of rejecting a lot that actually meets the quality standard. This hurts the producer — a good lot is wrongly returned.

Consumer's risk (\(\beta\)): The probability of accepting a lot that does not meet the quality standard. This hurts the consumer — a bad lot is wrongly accepted.

Conventionally, \(\alpha\) is set at 0.05 (5%) and \(\beta\) at 0.10 (10%). These are not symmetric — the consumer's risk is typically set lower because accepting bad quality is usually more harmful than rejecting good quality.

EXAMPLE 1

A lot with \(p = 0.01\) (1% defective — a "good" lot) is submitted. The sampling plan has \(\alpha = 0.05\). This means there is a 5% chance the lot will be rejected even though it meets the quality standard. The producer bears the cost of the false rejection.

EXAMPLE 2

A lot with \(p = 0.06\) (6% defective — a "bad" lot) is submitted. The sampling plan has \(\beta = 0.10\). This means there is a 10% chance this bad lot will be accepted. The consumer receives a substandard batch.

4. Operating Characteristic (OC) Curve

DEFINITION

The Operating Characteristic (OC) curve is a plot of the probability of accepting the lot (\(P_a\)) against the lot fraction defective (\(p\)). It completely characterises the discriminatory power of a sampling plan.

4.1 Ideal vs Practical OC Curve

OC Curve — plan n = 50, c = 2 1.00.750.5 0.250 P(accept) Pₐ AQL = 0.02, Pₐ = 0.92 producer's risk α ≈ 0.08 LTPD = 0.10, Pₐ ≈ 0.12 consumer's risk β 0.020.060.100.14 Lot fraction defective p →
Fig 4.1 — The OC curve shows the probability of accepting a lot as its quality \(p\) worsens. Good lots (low \(p\)) are almost always accepted; bad lots almost always rejected. The producer's risk α is the chance of rejecting a good (AQL) lot; the consumer's risk β is the chance of accepting a bad (LTPD) lot.

4.2 OC Curve for a Single Sampling Plan (\(n, c\))

Using the Binomial model, for a lot with fraction defective \(p\):

\[ P_a = \sum_{x=0}^{c} \binom{n}{x}\, p^x\, (1-p)^{n-x}. \]

Using the Poisson approximation (when \(n\) is large and \(p\) is small, with \(\lambda = np\)):

\[ P_a = \sum_{x=0}^{c} \frac{e^{-\lambda}\,\lambda^x}{x!}, \qquad \lambda = np. \]
EXAMPLE 1 — OC curve computation (Binomial)

Plan: \(n = 50\), \(c = 2\). Compute \(P_a\) for \(p = 0.02\):

\(P_a = P(X \le 2) = \binom{50}{0}(0.02)^0(0.98)^{50} + \binom{50}{1}(0.02)^1(0.98)^{49} + \binom{50}{2}(0.02)^2(0.98)^{48}\).

\(= 0.3642 + 0.3716 + 0.1858 = 0.9216\).

For \(p = 0.08\): \(P_a \approx 0.226\) — the plan discriminates well between 2% and 8% defective lots (compare the Poisson value 0.238 in Example 2).

EXAMPLE 2 — OC curve computation (Poisson approximation)

Same plan: \(n = 50\), \(c = 2\). For \(p = 0.02\), \(\lambda = 1.0\).

\(P_a = e^{-1}(1 + 1 + 0.5) = 0.3679 \times 2.5 = 0.9197\). Very close to the Binomial value 0.9216.

For \(p = 0.08\), \(\lambda = 4.0\): \(P_a = e^{-4}(1 + 4 + 8) = 0.0183 \times 13 = 0.238\).

5. AQL and LTPD

KEY QUALITY LEVELS

Acceptable Quality Level (AQL): The maximum fraction defective that is considered satisfactory as a process average. It is the quality level at which the producer's risk is \(\alpha\). Lots at AQL should be accepted with high probability (\(P_a = 1 - \alpha\)).

Lot Tolerance Percent Defective (LTPD): The worst tolerable quality level — the fraction defective at which the consumer's risk is \(\beta\). Lots at LTPD should be accepted with only low probability (\(P_a = \beta\)).

ParameterStands forAssociated riskTypical value
AQLAcceptable Quality LevelProducer's risk \(\alpha\) (usually 0.05)e.g., \(p = 0.01\)
LTPDLot Tolerance Percent DefectiveConsumer's risk \(\beta\) (usually 0.10)e.g., \(p = 0.05\)
EXAMPLE 1

A sampling plan is designed so that AQL = 1% with \(\alpha = 0.05\) and LTPD = 5% with \(\beta = 0.10\). This means: lots with 1% defective are accepted 95% of the time; lots with 5% defective are accepted only 10% of the time. The OC curve must pass through the points (0.01, 0.95) and (0.05, 0.10).

EXAMPLE 2

If AQL is tightened from 1% to 0.5% (same \(n, c\)), the producer's risk increases — more good lots get rejected. If LTPD is lowered from 5% to 3% (same \(n, c\)), the consumer's risk increases — more bad lots get accepted. To maintain both \(\alpha\) and \(\beta\) at desired levels, a larger sample size is needed.

6. Average Outgoing Quality (AOQ) and AOQL

DEFINITION

Average Outgoing Quality (AOQ) is the average quality of the product after the inspection process — i.e., after rejected lots have been 100% inspected and all defectives replaced with good items. It is a function of the incoming quality \(p\):

\[ \text{AOQ}(p) = \frac{P_a \cdot p \cdot (N - n)}{N}, \]

where \(N\) is the lot size. For large \(N\) relative to \(n\), this simplifies to:

\[ \text{AOQ}(p) \approx P_a \cdot p. \]

Average Outgoing Quality Limit (AOQL): The maximum value of AOQ over all possible values of incoming quality \(p\). It represents the worst-case average quality the consumer will receive, regardless of the supplier's quality level.

EXAMPLE 1 — AOQ computation

Plan: \(n = 100\), \(c = 3\), \(N = 5000\). For \(p = 0.02\), \(P_a = 0.857\) (from Poisson, \(\lambda = 2\)).

AOQ = 0.857 × 0.02 × (5000 − 100)/5000 = 0.857 × 0.02 × 0.98 = 0.0168 ≈ 1.68%.

The average outgoing quality when incoming quality is 2% is about 1.68%.

EXAMPLE 2 — AOQL determination

For the plan \(n = 100\), \(c = 3\), compute AOQ for several \(p\) values:

\(p\)\(P_a\)AOQ ≈ \(P_a \cdot p\)
0.010.9810.0098
0.020.8570.0171
0.030.6470.0194
0.040.4330.0173
0.050.2650.0133
0.060.1510.0091

Maximum AOQ ≈ 0.0194 at \(p ≈ 0.03\). So AOQL ≈ 1.94%.

7. Average Sample Number (ASN) and Average Total Inspection (ATI)

DEFINITIONS

Average Sample Number (ASN): The average number of items inspected per lot under the sampling plan. For a single sampling plan, ASN = \(n\) (always inspect exactly \(n\) items).

Average Total Inspection (ATI): The average total number of items inspected per lot considering both the sample inspection and (if the lot is rejected) the 100% screening of the remainder:

\[ \text{ATI} = n + (1 - P_a)(N - n). \]

When the lot is accepted (\(P_a\) close to 1), ATI ≈ \(n\). When the lot is rejected (\(P_a\) close to 0), ATI ≈ \(N\) (full inspection).

EXAMPLE 1 — ATI computation

Plan: \(n = 80\), \(c = 2\), \(N = 2000\). For \(p = 0.02\), \(P_a = 0.783\) (Poisson, \(\lambda = 1.6\)).

ATI = 80 + (1 − 0.783)(2000 − 80) = 80 + 0.217 × 1920 = 80 + 416.6 = 496.6 items.

On average, about 497 items are inspected per lot when incoming quality is 2%.

EXAMPLE 2 — ATI comparison

For the same plan, at two different quality levels:

When the supplier's quality is good, most lots are accepted and ATI is close to \(n\). When quality is poor, most lots are rejected and ATI approaches \(N\) — the screening cost becomes enormous.

Key Take-aways