This is the complete study package for Advanced Actuarial Statistics — a deep dive into the mathematical machinery used by professional actuaries. Building on Actuarial Statistics, this course covers future-lifetime random variables and mortality laws, life-insurance benefit functions, life annuities, net premiums, and policy reserves. Every concept is illustrated with two worked examples.
Future-lifetime r.v. \(T(x)\); curtate \(K(x)\); force of mortality \(\mu_x\); survival function \(s(x)\); mortality laws (De Moivre, constant force, Gompertz, Makeham, Weibull); select tables; fractional-age assumptions UDD, constant force, Balducci.
UNIT 2Continuous and discrete present-value r.v.s; whole-life, term, pure-endowment, endowment and deferred insurances; varying benefits (IA, DA); recursion formulas; variance of present value; joint-life and last-survivor benefits.
UNIT 3Annuities certain; continuous and discrete life annuities (\(\bar a_x, a_x, \ddot a_x\)); temporary, deferred, guaranteed; apportionable annuities; mthly annuities; annuities on two lives.
UNIT 4Equivalence principle; fully continuous and fully discrete net premiums; loss-at-issue r.v.; variance of loss; semi-continuous and apportionable premiums; portfolio-percentile premiums.
UNIT 5Prospective and retrospective benefit reserves; recursive (Thiele) equation; fully continuous and fully discrete reserves; gross-premium reserves; expenses; modified reserves — full preliminary term (FPT) and Zillmer.
PRACTICALMortality-law fitting; computation of \(A_x, \bar A_x\); annuity values; net-premium and reserve computations; recursion checks; modified-reserve workouts.
REFERENCECourse outline, textbooks, references and exam blueprint.
| Symbol | Meaning |
|---|---|
| \(T(x)\) | Future lifetime of (x); continuous r.v., \(T(x) \ge 0\). |
| \(K(x)\) | Curtate future lifetime: \(K(x) = \lfloor T(x) \rfloor\); integer-valued. |
| \(\mu_x\) | Force of mortality at age \(x\); \(\mu_x = -\frac{s'(x)}{s(x)}\). |
| \(_tp_x\) | \(P[T(x) > t]\); probability that (x) survives to \(x+t\). |
| \(_tq_x\) | \(1 - {}_tp_x\); probability that (x) dies within \(t\) years. |
| \(\bar A_x\) | Net single premium for whole-life insurance, benefit paid at moment of death. |
| \(A_x\) | Whole-life insurance NSP, benefit paid at end of year of death. |
| \(\bar a_x, \ddot a_x, a_x\) | Continuous, annuity-due, annuity-immediate present values. |
| \(P_x, \bar P(\bar A_x)\) | Net premium for whole-life (discrete / continuous). |
| \({}_tV_x\) | Benefit reserve at duration \(t\) for whole-life on (x). |